AAVE Could Crash By 30% If Signal Holds, But V4 Set to Launch

Aave (AAVE) encountered a difficult week with a 17.07% price decrease, as reported by CoinMarketCap. Although the DeFi token showed some stability in the past 24 hours, certain market indicators suggest that the bearish storm might not be over yet.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared a pessimistic prediction on the AAVE market in a recent post on social media platform X. According to Martinez, the TD Sequential indicator is displaying a sell signal on the AAVE weekly chart, indicating a potential sharp decline.

The TD Sequential, created by Tom DeMark, is a technical analysis tool used to identify potential turning points in price trades. It essentially indicates when an asset’s price is overextended in a particular direction and due for a reversal.

Based on Martinez’s analysis, if the TD Sequential sell signal holds, AAVE could undergo a significant correction, falling to around $264. However, in the presence of overwhelming selling pressure, the L2 token could be headed for $203, indicating a possible 29.5% decline from AAVE’s current price.

This bearish prediction is further supported by other indicators. The Relative Strength Index indicator has a value of 62.57, indicating that AAVE is still far from the oversold zone and may experience further decline in the coming weeks.

Moreover, the asset’s 100-day simple average is also far below the current price, which can be interpreted as another bearish signal. Caution is advised when navigating the present market.

At press time, AAVE trades at $290.04 after a slight 2.48% gain in the last 24 hours. However, its daily trading volume has dipped by 48.99%, which may potentially indicate that selling pressure is beginning to ease up.

Despite the ongoing price struggle, the Aave protocol continues to record positive development. As recently reported by NewsBTC, Aave registered $35 billion in total net deposits, marking an all-time high value since 2021.

In addition to this, the DeFi protocol is preparing to launch its V4 network upgrade that is expected to introduce advanced risk tools and unified liquidity among other benefits. According to data from DeFiillama, AAVE continues to rank as the second largest DeFi protocol with a Total Value Locked (TVL) of $20.4 billion.

The decentralized lending platform falls only behind liquid staking protocol Lido Finance which boasts of a TVL of $31.60 billion.