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数据显示,比特币和以太坊与传统市场的相关性可以忽略不计,这表明加密货币正在走向独立。在过去 30 天里,BTC 和 ETH 与传统资产的相关系数一直接近于零,这意味着相关性很小。这种相关性的缺失表明加密货币一直在相对独立地运作,这可能使它们成为传统投资组合可行的多元化选择。
Cryptocurrency Charts Its Own Course: Bitcoin and Ethereum Exhibit Limited Correlation to Traditional Markets
加密货币绘制了自己的路线:比特币和以太坊与传统市场的相关性有限
Introduction
介绍
In a recent analysis, IntoTheBlock, a market intelligence platform, revealed that the correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), the two dominant cryptocurrencies, with conventional markets and commodities has remained near zero. This finding highlights the increasing autonomy of the cryptocurrency sector and its potential as a distinct asset class for investors.
市场情报平台 IntoTheBlock 在最近的一项分析中显示,两种主要加密货币比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)与传统市场和大宗商品之间的相关性仍接近于零。这一发现凸显了加密货币行业日益增强的自主权及其作为投资者独特资产类别的潜力。
Correlation Coefficient: A Measure of Relatedness
相关系数:相关性的度量
The correlation coefficient (r) is a statistical metric that measures the degree of relationship between two variables over a given period. A positive correlation coefficient indicates that the prices of two assets move in the same direction, while a negative correlation coefficient suggests that they move in opposite directions. A correlation coefficient close to zero indicates no significant relationship between the variables.
相关系数 (r) 是一种统计指标,用于衡量给定时期内两个变量之间的相关程度。正相关系数表明两种资产的价格朝同一方向变动,而负相关系数表示它们朝相反方向变动。相关系数接近于零表明变量之间不存在显着关系。
Cryptocurrency Uncorrelated with Traditional Assets
与传统资产不相关的加密货币
The IntoTheBlock analysis shows that the 30-day correlation between BTC and ETH with various conventional assets, including stocks, bonds, and commodities, has been minimal. Specifically, the correlation of BTC with the S&P 500 index, a key barometer of the US stock market, stands at 0.4, while ETH's correlation with the same index is slightly higher at 0.49. These moderate correlations indicate that cryptocurrencies have been behaving relatively independently from traditional markets in recent times.
IntoTheBlock 分析显示,BTC 和 ETH 与股票、债券和大宗商品等各种传统资产之间的 30 天相关性很小。具体来说,BTC与美国股市关键晴雨表标准普尔500指数的相关性为0.4,而ETH与该指数的相关性略高,为0.49。这些适度的相关性表明,加密货币近年来的表现相对独立于传统市场。
Implications for Investors
对投资者的影响
The low correlation between cryptocurrencies and conventional assets has several implications for investors:
加密货币与传统资产之间的低相关性对投资者有几个影响:
- Potential for Diversification: Cryptocurrencies offer potential diversification benefits for investors. By adding cryptocurrencies to their portfolios, investors can potentially reduce overall risk as cryptocurrencies' returns are not closely tied to the performance of traditional assets.
- Viable Addition to Portfolios: The lack of significant correlation to traditional markets suggests that BTC and ETH could be viable additions to diversified investment portfolios, particularly for investors seeking alternative asset classes.
Market Dynamics
多元化潜力:加密货币为投资者提供潜在的多元化优势。通过将加密货币添加到投资组合中,投资者可以潜在地降低整体风险,因为加密货币的回报与传统资产的表现并不紧密相关。 投资组合的可行补充:与传统市场缺乏显着相关性表明 BTC 和 ETH 可能是可行的补充多元化的投资组合,特别是对于寻求另类资产类别的投资者。市场动态
The low correlation between cryptocurrencies and traditional markets can be attributed to several factors, including:
加密货币与传统市场之间的低相关性可归因于几个因素,包括:
- Institutional Adoption: The growing institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies, such as by hedge funds and pension funds, has introduced new sources of demand that are less influenced by traditional market cycles.
- Technological Innovation: The underlying blockchain technology and the development of decentralized applications (dApps) have created new use cases and value propositions for cryptocurrencies, making them less dependent on the performance of traditional markets.
- Regulatory Landscape: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is still evolving, and the potential for increased regulatory oversight could impact the correlation between cryptocurrencies and traditional markets.
Conclusion
机构采用:对冲基金和养老基金等机构越来越多地采用加密货币,引入了受传统市场周期影响较小的新需求来源。技术创新:底层区块链技术和去中心化应用程序(dApp)的开发为加密货币创造了新的用例和价值主张,从而减少了它们对传统市场表现的依赖。 监管环境:加密货币的监管环境仍在不断发展,加强监管的潜力可能会影响加密货币与传统市场之间的相关性。结论
The recent analysis by IntoTheBlock demonstrates the increasing autonomy of cryptocurrencies, particularly BTC and ETH. With minimal correlation to traditional markets, cryptocurrencies offer potential diversification benefits and could be considered as viable additions to diversified investment portfolios. As the cryptocurrency sector matures and continues to chart its own course, it is expected to play an increasingly significant role in the global financial landscape.
IntoTheBlock 最近的分析表明,加密货币(尤其是 BTC 和 ETH)的自主性不断增强。由于与传统市场的相关性极小,加密货币具有潜在的多元化优势,可以被视为多元化投资组合的可行补充。随着加密货币行业的成熟并继续制定自己的路线,预计它将在全球金融格局中发挥越来越重要的作用。
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